Prop firms · Forex / CFD

FTMO Challenge: Simulated Pass Rate, Rules & Real EV (2026)

This page answers three questions for FTMO: what the actual eval and funded-account rules are, how a real trader profile fares against them across 10,000 simulated runs, and whether the long-run expected value justifies the eval fee. Rules verified as of 2026-07-15. Independent — not affiliated with FTMO.

The ruleset

Account sizes$10k · $25k · $50k · $100k · $200k
Eval cost (mid tier)$540
PhasesTwo-phase
Profit target10% (P1) / 5% (P2)
Max drawdownStatic · 10%
Daily loss limit5%
Consistency ruleNone
Min trading days4
Max daysUnlimited
Profit split (funded)80%
Payout buffer1%
Min profitable days (funded)4
Trailing on fundedNo
Payout frequencyEvery 14 days

Simulated results

Three trader profiles, 10,000 simulated evaluations each against FTMO's exact rules. Pass rate is the eval only. Payout is conditional on passing. Joint withdrawal is the probability of reaching a first payout end-to-end. P&L is expected value over 50 attempted challenges at the mid-tier account.

Scalper · 58% wr · 6/day
Pass
59.1%
Payout
74.8%
Joint withdrawal
44.2%
P&L · 50 runs
-$2.2k
Balanced · 50% wr · 3/day
Pass
20.3%
Payout
54.4%
Joint withdrawal
11.0%
P&L · 50 runs
-$19.3k
Swing · 42% wr · 1/day
Pass
22.2%
Payout
55.8%
Joint withdrawal
12.4%
P&L · 50 runs
-$18.5k

Why traders fail this challenge

Failure breakdown from the balanced-archetype simulation. This is what typically ends a FTMO run — not what traders think ends it.

Trailing / max drawdown breach9%
Daily loss limit hit28%
Ran out of time / never reached target63%
Consistency rule violation0%

Rules explained

How FTMO's drawdown works

FTMO uses a static drawdown of 10% of the starting balance. Static drawdown is the friendliest structure — the floor doesn't move as you profit. See trailing drawdown explained for the full mechanics.

How the daily loss limit is calculated

FTMO caps intraday drawdown at 5% of the account. It's evaluated end-of-day on realised P&L, and a single losing session over the cap ends the challenge — not just the day.

Consistency rule

FTMO has no consistency rule on the standard evaluation. See the consistency rule explained for the full mechanics and how it changes your real pass rate.

Is FTMO worth it?

FTMO is the reference standard in forex prop — two phases, static drawdown, and the most consistent payout track record in the industry. The two-phase structure lowers raw pass rates, but funded traders who pass historically get paid. The 'default' choice; not the cheapest, not the most generous, but the most reliable.

Frequently asked

What is FTMO's trailing drawdown?+

FTMO uses a static drawdown of 10% of the starting balance. This is the single biggest driver of long-run pass rate for most traders.

What win rate do you need to pass FTMO?+

Not a fixed number. Our simulator runs three archetypes against FTMO's exact rules: the balanced 50%-win-rate trader passes 20.3% of the time; the scalper archetype and swing archetype produce meaningfully different numbers on the firm page above. Passing is a function of edge, variance, and how the ruleset punishes lumpy P&L — not win rate in isolation.

How much does FTMO cost long-term?+

The mid-tier FTMO evaluation is $540. Over 50 attempted challenges, our balanced-archetype simulation nets -$19.3k — that's eval fees paid on failures netted against payouts collected on the joint 11.0% of runs that reach a withdrawal.

Does FTMO have a consistency rule?+

No consistency rule on the evaluation. Verify current terms — firms add and remove these rules regularly.

Is FTMO worth it in 2026?+

FTMO is the reference standard in forex prop — two phases, static drawdown, and the most consistent payout track record in the industry. The two-phase structure lowers raw pass rates, but funded traders who pass historically get paid. The 'default' choice; not the cheapest, not the most generous, but the most reliable.

Run YOUR numbers against FTMO's ruleset

The archetypes above are examples. Feed your own win rate, average win/loss and trades per day into the simulator to see your real pass and payout probability at FTMO.

Run my simulation

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Based on publicly listed rules as of 2026-07-15. Independent — not affiliated with FTMO. Rules change; verify with the firm before paying. Simulations are estimates based on a barrier-crossing model of daily P&L, not guarantees.